too many weeks getting Mrs May to go, and then weeks more finding a
replacement, the Days-Not-Out total has grown to 1,125.
Looking forward there are now exactly 100 days to the latest deadline at the end of October.
will Mr Johnson be able to cut the EU apron strings by then or will he
simply get tangled up and have to call for yet another extension?
will be looking at the calendar and thinking that many of those 100
days are going to be taken up with holidays, party conferences and end
of term wind-downs for the outgoing EU leaders. Getting out in 100 days
is a big ask – so doing it in as few as 20 to 30 working days seems even
more problematic. When you add in the time that the Government might
need to spend on issues other than Brexit – and the number of
anti-Brexit trouble makers – Bojo will need to move very quickly to get
anything done in time.
He has the leadership of the Conservative Party – but very little control at Westminster. Place your bets now …
beloved European Union HQ the parliament has selected its leader for the
next five years – from a candidate choice of just one! Despite this
non-existent range of options Ursula von der Leyen still struggled to
get enough votes to confirm her appointment as President.
again those Grandads who favour staying members of the Europa Projekt
will surely know all about their new ruler – but for the rest of us here
is a quick update. Frau von der Leyen is currently the German defence
minister – useful for those EU Army plans – but not exactly a high flyer
in German politics. Back in childhood her father, Ernst Albrecht, was
one of the first European civil servants who later moved back to Germany
and became Prime Minister of Lower Saxony. A post that may have helped
Frau von der Leyen become a minister in the Lower Saxony state
government in 2003 and then in the federal government in 2005. In recent
years she has been considered as a contender for the post of Chancellor
and ironically NATO Secretary-General. However her performance in
government has not been much of a recommendation for high office being
the lowest rated minster in national polls. Some see her being gifted
the top EU job as a way of removing her from German federal politics.
in the UK we are still waiting to learn who has got the most votes for
the job of Conservative leader – and with it the keys to 10 Downing
Street. Unlike the EU election process the UK contest had an over-supply
of candidates even if the voting was limited to party members. The
expectation is the Boris Johnson will win with a massive majority – by a
similar margin to the earlier votes by MPs.
the fractured nature of UK politics mean that even if Johnson does have
much more support than anyone else there will still be party members
trying to block and disrupt his time in office. Moves that invalidate
the idea that they are in a single political party. The issue of Brexit
has split both the Conservative and Labour parties so that we now have a
least four separate groupings who are only nominal on the same side. If
the factions lead to an early general election then it could be the
Brexit party and the LibDems that gain – merely because they have
unequivocal positions on the biggest issue this country has faced in a
Conservative party are getting the most of the political coverage in the
media – with the Hunt versus Johnson shoot-out. A contest that seems
one-sided but is, at least, making the candidates face their membership
directly while getting them out of the Westminster village straight
they are not the only party with leadership contest activity. The
LibDems are also trying to choose between Jo Swinson and Sir Ed Davey to
take over from Vince Cable. Meanwhile in the Labour camp Jezza Corbyn
is using all his youthful charisma to keep himself as leader – despite
media reports of civil servants briefing against him. Surprisingly the
Brexit Party leadership are not being attacked for once. But then quite a
few of them are now out of London; busy trying to get to grips with
their new – but temporary – home at EU HQ.
that makes at least six politicians all wanting to move into 10 Downing
Street in the near future. Hopefully all the current hustings will be
over within a few weeks – and we will then have a single, clear leader
who can take us forward. And forward at a much faster pace – and with
real commitment – on a path of democratic freedom and independence.
Sadly this could all get bogged down by no confidence votes and a
subsequent general election.
these British manoeuvres seem rather parochial when compared to the
eurocrats efforts to get their men into the top jobs. When it comes to
inter-european political deals the Brussels incumbents are the
equivalent of chess grand masters. Let’s hope we can escape while they
are looking the other way …
politics continues to gyrate in ever decreasing circles through arcane –
and somewhat irrelevant – procedures that seem to be designed to make
mountains out of proverbial mole-hills.
Mrs May out of office has taken far too long – even when she was
clearly making a complete hash of the job. Crazily she has resigned but
is still in Downing Street and looking to commit billions of our taxes
to her pet projects. Someone has to say no.
a replacement has already taken weeks and could well run on until the
start of the summer break – meaning nothing useful may get done before
September. Why does it take weeks for Conversative party offices to
vote? Even the Euro elections only take a few days.
then we will have around eight weeks to the next EU crunch date –
31-Oct-2019 – and the opposition will be pushing for a general election –
so it is quite possible that the next Prime Minister could set a record
for the shortest spell in office. And the general public will still be
waiting for our politicians to honour their promise of implementing our
decision to leave the EU that was made back in 2016.
As the results of the EU parliament elections get revealed the situation in the UK remains much as before – despite the massive protest vote.
The Brexit Party already having 28 MEPs and 31.6% of the vote it is very
clear there is solid demand to leave the EU now – and to have the same
trading relationships as any other non-EU country would have.
the Westminster villagers seem to want to replace the failed Mrs May
with a policy-clone. Someone who will seek a special EU deal while
refusing to take the benefits that the world trade option offers. A
strategy that will fail – again. And force the UK not just to remain but
also to become part of the Europa Projekt – the United States of Europe.
Already we have Conservative leadership candidates – and their backers – saying that No Deal is a crazy, extremist suicide strategy that they will not accept. Even though the Conservatives have sunk to an all-time low of fifth place – with less than 10% of the EU votes.
Yet at some stage this refusal to accept democratic results will have to be tackled. Worryingly one solution – a final solution – is to make sure popular votes
no longer take place. This would remove the risk to the elite that
their plans could be questioned, challenged or even blocked by the
another scenario is that the Conservative leadership choice becomes
irrelevant once they have been wiped off the political map by a general
As the media
dedicate entire pages and programmes to the end of Mrs May’s leadership
there are some real issues that have to be faced – and very soon.
the next Prime Minster actually succeed in implementing the will of the
people? Or will they be another establishment front for remaining? Will
that PM be a Conservative MP and if so will they last beyond the end of
reasons why Mrs May failed and had to go are pretty obvious – a leaving
deal that was much more attractive to the EU than to the UK, a terrible
general election manifesto and campaign, repeatedly ignoring Commons
defeats and not leaving on 29th March as promised to parliament so many
times, etc, etc.
the UK has no new Brexit options to consider and we can only hope that
the next Prime Minister realises that there are currently only two
options open to us – leave on World Trade Organisation terms or withdraw
our request to leave. The idea that a deal agreed by the other twenty
seven countries can be replaced by something more attractive to both
them and us is just pie in the sky. And if the new PM starts down that
route then we will know that the wrong person has got the job – again!
public has no say in the Conservative Party selection process – but
they do in a General Election so let’s hope Brexit gets resolved
quickly. Any more delays would spell the end of the public’s patience
It is reported from Brussels that the UK Withdrawal Agreement dictated by Barnier / Merkel and welcomed as a good deal
by May / Robbins has now being re-branded as a permanent treaty. A fact
not acknowledged by those politicians reporting to the Number 10
For them the agreement
is still seen as something that must be forced down the throats of MPs
and rushed into legislation before the public can stop it. Then Mrs May
can collect her reward and jump ship leaving us Grandads – and our children and grandchildren – to pay for the expensive mess created.
In order to comply with the May-Robbins Dead Donkey Deal
the UK will need to stay in the customs union and accept all single
market rules and laws, unless the EU relents over the alleged Irish
border issue. Almost three years on from the vote and the EU has given
no ground on the made-up border issue, so why would they over the
next two years? Isn’t the most likely outcome we would remain in the
single market and customs union contrary to the government promise that
leaving meant leaving?
Also after the likely 45 month period fully in the EU, the UK still would face financial obligations under the Withdrawal Treaty.
The bills will be decided by the EU and we will have to pay them. Any
attempt to query them would be adjudicated by the EU’s own court! The
longer we stay in the more the future bills are likely to be. The
£39,000 million figure often quoted is likely to be a considerable
Further the Deal
creates a category of super citizen in the UK. Since it enshrines the
law that EU nationals living in the UK will have their access to
benefits guaranteed for their entire lifetimes. So a twenty-something
worker from, say, Romania could be supported by UK tax-payers for over
50 years – even if they don’t stay. And it is quite likely that a wife
(or ex-wife?) and unlimited children could also be funded the same way.
Our grandchildren meanwhile would not only have to pay the higher tax
bills but could also face reduced benefits. Problems that did not apply
to those EU nationals that will qualify.
theses are just a few of the examples of how the May-Robbins partnership
has foolishly agreed not just to give away so much of the nation’s
sovereignty and tax revenues – but to also pay the EU for that privilege.
this week’s EU elections will accurately reflect what the people
actually want to happen next. And that the message is not spun into
support for a different political agenda. Despite a widely-expected
people’s vote in support of a no deal Brexit Mrs May is still pushing
for a fourth Westminster vote on her bad deal – and still clinging to
the idea that she will only leave if and when that deal is passed.
A scenario that so many more of us wish to avoid at all costs. No More May? Let us pray!
It has long been the belief – in Whitehall at least – that Olly Robbins used his outstanding intellect to craft a near-perfect withdrawal agreement. One that would keep the UK tied to the EU for long enough to arrange for a re-admission a few years on. And one that would pay more than enough to keep the eurocrats in champagne and cognac throughout – while still claiming to be delivering Brexit.
But recently the image presented of His Ollyness has taken somewhat of a pasting with the story that Mr Robbins was angling for a job in Brussels – along with permanent residency. In fact a very similar story to that circulating about arch-remainer Dominic Grieve with his EU job ambitions and a home in France.
the real blow to the mask of Whitehall superiority came with the insider
view from the EU negotiators that they were dumbfounded by crass
stupidity of UK Brexit team.
looks like he who was made out to be the biggest brain in Brussels is
now the runaway winner of the biggest-ever sprout competition.