The EU’s Green Pass vaccine passport should be in place between 17-May and 1-June 2021 according to reports quoting Eurocrat Margaritis Schinas – the European Commission Vice-President assigned to the Promoting our European Way of Life Department (that is not a joke!). Being an EU scheme it does not cover the UK – or indeed anywhere else.
So after the threats to block vaccine supplies are played out the next revenge move could well involve the EU requiring travellers to have one of their new passports – while making sure that all UK applicants are either restricted, blocked or forced to pay dearly for the privilege. A move that could make places like Israel, Gibraltar, Australia etc move further up every desirable holiday destinations list.
However quite how travel to the Irish Republic from the non-EU world would work is not clear – and could prove a further problem for the citizens of Northern Ireland. A part of the UK that is being forced to act as a purgatory between the evil UK and the heaven that is the EU. [Do I get my EU funding now?]
Meanwhile the UK news media report that a Covid Status Certificate is being considered for the UK. But also reporting opinions that any UK domestic vaccine passport would be discriminatory and that discriminating on grounds of jabs would be illegal.
Looks like travel companies will have to tread very carefully if they are to avoid expensive litigation …
It’s evening and the House of Lords has been passed a parcel. Not as a game to cheer up the holidays but in the form of that elusive deal with our former overlords – the European Union. They need to pass it on to our head of state for the final stage. And that needs to be quick so that the Queen can retire at a reasonable time – she is 94 after all.
Tomorrow should start out with all the legal steps completed and just one more day of transition before we are out of the EU. The predicted last-minute fait accompli bill did get through Westminster. But at least some of the politicians did make a big effort to search for any serious issues – and their green light helped it get through with a massive majority. Now for seeing how the deal works in practice … and how our European Friends treat us.
Just to add to frantic atmosphere reports of rapidly increasing Covid cases triggered the Heath Secretary moving all Tier 2 regions into Tier 3 – and many Tier 3 into Tier 4. While the Education Secretary rushed to push back the start date for school attendance back by one or two weeks. At least the other rushed announcement was good news – in that another vaccine had passed the approval process. And this one will be usable with room temperature storage …
So a lonely New Years Eve for most of the UK – but some rays of hope that summer 2021 will see the start of a new Roaring Twenties.
Well our Westminster MPs have been packed off to their homes or constituencies without seeing anything resembling a trade deal with the European Union. Despite another fifteen days having passed little has changed in the mass media headlines and opinion pieces despite lots of talks and briefings.
And the few changes that have happened don’t add up to much. At the bookies the sentiment has swung from deal to no deal and amongst EU politicians the stress levels have jumped with each day that passes.
Meanwhile out at sea the EU trawlers seem to have upped their policy of scooping up all marine life – whether saleable or not – to leave nothing in the waters that the UK gets back. A very short-sighted policy and one that confirms they expect to face UK controls shortly. Surprising the BBC seems to be trying to ignore what is happening – despite claiming a leading role in ecology issues. Yet Trawler-watch is one programme they have not scheduled.
So New Year 2021 is just two weeks away and the Brexit saga still drags on .. Will some last minute deal appear? Will MPs get recalled before year end? … Will we all wake up to find 2020 was a bad dream? .. Pass the port and mince pies I need to forget …
Here we are at another deadline in the EU relationship saga. And it is sobering to reflect that there are eight year-olds who have spent their entire lives with Brexit on the national agenda.
Today’s question is will the UK government, that is the Prime Minister, walk away from the fraught trade negotiations by midnight tonight – as promised? Or will they allow the EU politicians to impose their timetable instead?
By tomorrow we should find out.
But there is a feeling that this is a critical tipping point. Anything other than the UK landlord calling last orders tonight will show everyone – on both sides – just how weak and ineffective the UK leadership has become …
Update 19-Oct-2020 The cynics win again. Bluff and bluster but the deadline is not enforced and so the talks continue …
It’s autumn and already the supermarket shelves are being stacked with Christmas specials while the British media tries to generate the false impression that there are shortages of essentials due to panic buying. For this Grandad mince pies are high on the essentials list – but with the raw materials to make them already stockpiled there are no concerns on that front.
However taking a somewhat broader view there are plenty of things that could go badly wrong for Britain. First the infamous, but non-existent, trade deal with the European Union is needed by both sides – but not at any price. And those that expected the EU to take a pragmatic and fair approach have been rudely shaken out of their dreams. We have to hope that the politicians can stop playing their political games and come to a sensible solution. But it’s not something that has happened very often, or very quickly, in the past – and the EU has a worse than average track record; mainly because there are so many different countries trying to come to a common consensus. What suits Spain does not suit Germany, etc, etc.
With just three months remaining before the end of transition and just a few weeks before the next final deadline any businesses relying on importing or exporting across the Channel must be crying out for definite border policies and procedures. The optimistic view is that exports from the EU to UK will be VAT free and cheaper but the pessimistic view is that something as simple as buying an item on Amazon will involve extra processes that increase the final price significantly. Who knows? Certainly not Joe Public. And most probably not Joe Public’s member of parliament either.
Then a close second comes Covid-19 – or rather the various attempts by our leaders to solve a health pandemic by issuing random rules, laws and slogans. Today’s news that even if a vaccine is found and approved by early 2021 it will take all of next year to treat most people. So we face starting 2021 with both Covid lock-downs and massive hold-ups at all the ports. But our government has things under control, it says, and is looking to make things clearer by putting Covid restrictions into three tiers …
Some distance behind these two we have threats of political rebellions in Scotland and Ireland – plus even within Scotland – and an increasingly unstable situation within British royalty. With the head of state being in a high-risk age group, the heir apparent being past retirement age, the Duke of York being tangled up in US litigation and Harry, formerly known as Prince, having become a minister of the Woke-ist religion there is a minefield of potential disasters not far ahead for the House of Windsor.
The role of
president of the European Central Bank (ECB) is vitally important for
the prudent management of the euro. A tricky task when it is used in
nineteen countries with widely-divergent economies.
last week the role was filled by Mario Draghi and under his management
trillions of extra euros were created and mainly used to fund government
borrowing and EU industries through buying their bonds. This was
intended to have the effect of getting businesses to expand.
Friday Christine Lagarde started her eight year term as ECB president –
and set out with a commitment for further euro printing. But that was
arranged by Draghi before he left. An unusual move in the circumstances –
and one that was opposed by seven of the twenty-five strong governing
council. A body that reflects that basic problem with the EU – the
differences between the financial policies needed in, for example,
Greece and Germany. It is also a body that Mde. Lagarde will need for
help – since she lacks any central bank experience herself.
that never stopped her at the IMF so the chances are that the euro will
not fall into terminal decline – despite various predictions in recent
years. Just as long as the Germans can keep their economy buoyant …
and stick with the euro.
should, according to previous promises by our Prime Minster, be the
country’s last as a member of the European Union.
even though there are six remaining days for things to change, it seems
almost certain that leaving at the end of October will become another
promise that is broken.
the lack of a majority in parliament has left the country with a
government that is unable to govern. With an array of anti-exit
political factions and vested interests against it any meaningful
progress has become impossible – even the judiciary showed their bias.
Of course, for the many Grandads
happy to support leaving without the far-reaching constraints demanded
by the EU, this situation means that a bad deal has also been delayed –
so far. But with many politicians demanding that No-Deal is taken off the table the chances of the UK actually escaping the spider’s web of EU control next week seem slim.
giving up on the present parliament and having a general election does
offer a potential solution. But only if it results in a clear majority
of MPs being in one camp or the other. Recent experience shows that
another minority government could be the result – and then we are back
in the same situation by Christmas.
public’s view of our pseudo-democratic representatives must now have
fallen to an all-time low – with plenty of justification.
As predicted last week, the new deal with the EU revealed today – and immediately accepted by Brussels – is the May-Robbins dead donkey treaty with some tweaks for the Irish issue but now with a divorce bill reduced to just £33,000 million! So it seems our all-new prime minister is actually Theresa May 2.0 underneath.
If that is not the case then a Baldrick-style cunning plan could be in play – based on a guess that our self-serving politicians will defeat the dead donkey
for a fourth time on Saturday – and then a hope that the EU would loose
their patience and say no to another extension. Thus exiting without a
deal on 31-Oct-2019. But that seems like another flying pig scenario!
the other political parties the latest deal has already been rejected as
a step backwards and provided them with more fuel for revoking our
Article 50 leave request; probably via a one-sided referendum. A
view that might now just win out. If it does then the only bright spot
would be a general election to follow with an opportunity to vote in a
Brexit parliament that would invoke Article 50 again – if the EU had not
blocked countries using that route by then.
bookies are rethinking their odds that there will be a UK-EU deal agreed
as soon as next week. Clearly someone thinks that a deal is near.
while all the anti-no deal politicians ought to be happy at the
expected news it is more likely that they will live to regret their
Because the only deal the EU have ever supported is their one-sided
treaty agreed to by the May-Robins gang. A treaty that even these same
anti-no deal politicians rejected no less than three times. This is the
only deal that is ready-to-go – and one already approved by the 27 EU
could be wrong and a complete replacement for the 600+ page treaty
might be created in time to be approved next week. But pigs might fly.
So what about a few quick edits on the existing treaty? Well the only
edits so far covered relate to the Irish land border. Nothing else has
been aired in public.
logical implication is that the original treaty – the dead-donkey deal –
will be tweaked for the Irish issue and then put to the UK parliament
for a fourth time.
And, as before, if approved it will commit the country to a much despised Brexit-in-name-only future. A Pyrrhic victory
that leaves the UK with the worst of no-deal and worst of remain
without any advantages. And a general election will punish the culprits
but come too late to undo the mess.
Oh! What a tangled web we weave, when first we practice to deceive.