decade has started out with a roar – with threats of everything from
global pandemic to weather chaos; from stock market crash to royal
have no fear an intrepid junior reporter has emerged. One who will stop
the evil US president, outwit the scheming eastern dictator and mobilise
the youth of the free world to stop climate change before we and all of
the Earth’s animals starve, burn or are drowned.
Now Grandad remains unconvinced that Grintin
has any real solutions and can only act as a voice for others.
Hopefully those that have researched the issue in depth. But this leaves
the whole climate action programme vulnerable to being hijacked by
vested interests. And there are plenty who see their chance to make a
lot of money out of phoney climate initiatives.
there are some big issues that need to be faced head-on – with the ever
expanding human population being the key driver of almost all of them.
Now if Grintin can convince the world to act on that then there is a chance for future generations.
cynics will say that there is no money to be made out of population
reduction – so it won’t happen. Not by any human actions that is …
estimated that one deadly strain of avian influenza caused the deaths of
50 million people worldwide. In England it was named Spanish Flu. It broke out here in 1918 so towards the end of First World War.
The current outbreak of Wuhan Virus
is being taken very seriously but so far represents just a tiny
fraction of the human cost that the pandemic of 1918 incurred. However
the big issue that most commentators are not addressing is the
disproportionate impact that the quarantine measures are going to have
on world trade – and the global economy. In effect the entire world’s
factory has been all but closed.
week that a factory in China, normally producing goods for export,
remains closed around 2% of its annual production is lost. How many
factories in China are already closed? And how many more will follow?
How long before they can re-open?
we can all survive if the launch of the latest smartphone is delayed for
months or even years. But the mighty Apple will soon feel the icy blast
of recession if it runs out of products to sell. And it’s not just
factory products impacted. At the opposite end of the process raw
materials like coal, oil, iron ore, etc will experience a big drop in
demand. This in turn will lead to a drop in prices and lay-offs in
countries far away from the regions infected by the Wuhan virus.
is a serious risk that there will be a collapse in world trade – and
perhaps one big enough in scale to surpass the Wall Street Crash of the
1920’s … And that is yet another piece of 20th century history that no
one wants to see repeated.